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We believe that fundamentals for the financials sector will improve significantly following the November 2016 elections in the United States. We expect a stronger economy, lower taxes, higher interest rates and a more favorable regulatory environment to improve earnings power. Banks should see faster loan growth, higher net interest margins and sustained low credit costs. Capital market firms should benefit from increased activity levels, and asset managers are seeing early signs of improved active equity performance that could improve flows. Higher interest rates are considered a net positive for insurers’ portfolio yields, particularly life insurers; however, an associated increase in claims inflation would be an adverse development for property and casualty insurers.

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